Wednesday 12 December 2012

Bring on 2013


So that was 2012. On a personally level it wasn’t one of my favourites, but also I think from an industry point of view it went a lot better than perhaps we all thought it would at the start of the year. We only have to stay out of triple dip recession in the first half of 2013 and we are laughing.
2012 was notable of course for the 25th and 20th anniversaries of GSM technology and SMS respectively, but it also marked the watershed point at which more smartphones than normal phones were in use in the US (with the UK not far behind). The year also saw the rise of the tablet – with more than 10% of m-commerce likely to be carried out on a tablet this Christmas: a massive increase on last year.
In many regards I think that in years to come, technologists may well deem 2012 to have been the year of mobile. And let’s face it we have been waiting for it to be the year of mobile for at least the 25 years since GSM technology was mooted.
But what does it mean for 2013 that everything is now so mobile? From a commerce point of view, Christmas 2012 offers a great insight into how mobile is likely to be used across the retail sector in the coming months. And its not as straightforward a picture as you might imagine. Shoppers are not simply switching to a smartphone or a tablet and lying back on the couch and buying things there instead of on their PC or in a store. Oh no.
For starters, different devices are being used for different (and often multiple) parts of the sales journey. Advertising on websites, TV, in magazines and newspapers and on mobile itself often prompts some smartphone based research. This initial research is often then done in more depth on a laptop or tablet. For small ticket items the purchase often then occurs on one of these channels from home, but for the bigger ticket items, a visit to a retailer is often done and then how the goods are purchased can be anything from there and then in the store, to showrooming to click and collect to going home to think about it then buying on mobile.
Tablets, meanwhile, are being grabbed when the mood takes and lead to surfing and some buying but also a lot of social interaction about potential purchases.
Location services and mobile targeted ads are some way off the mainstream, but 2013 is likely to see these things also added into the mix.
So retail and mobile is a heady mix, with some really interesting things to come in 2013.
But the wider telemedia world also has some really key developments taking shape. Media is increasingly becoming interactive and digital and consumers are increasingly ready to pay for some things. Growing numbers of consumers are using digital channels to consume ‘multimedia’ content and increasingly are seeing that paying for value-adds –often in app – has some real value.
On the back of this, but with a much wider remit, ,microbilling is about to explode on mobile in 2013 for everything from buying a can of coke to paying for carparking to having a flutter on the nags to buying things in app.
And there is a growing move to make operator billing easier and more straightforward to deliver these services. We are, I believe, going to see some true telemedia payment coups in the coming year and, but this time next year, operator microbilling will be a natural part of the mix. We might even see retailers starting to get on board with that too: which will make 2014 look even more interesting. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!